Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.022311 0.024083 0.025930 0.027999 0.030256 0.032644 0.035364
2025-11-16 0.019141 0.021643 0.024390 0.027634 0.031370 0.035547 0.040584
2025-11-23 0.017207 0.020137 0.023478 0.027584 0.032511 0.038258 0.045501
2025-11-30 0.015689 0.018873 0.022617 0.027367 0.033265 0.040387 0.049698
2025-12-07 0.014515 0.017875 0.021931 0.027221 0.033983 0.042398 0.053762
2025-12-14 0.013510 0.016982 0.021271 0.027002 0.034521 0.044137 0.057501
2025-12-21 0.012767 0.016351 0.020873 0.027051 0.035353 0.046240 0.061787
2025-12-28 0.012030 0.015669 0.020349 0.026873 0.035836 0.047862 0.065468
2026-01-04 0.011429 0.015121 0.019955 0.026825 0.036457 0.049666 0.069470
2026-01-11 0.010948 0.014702 0.019700 0.026931 0.037272 0.051753 0.073965
2026-01-18 0.010490 0.014283 0.019415 0.026966 0.037967 0.053680 0.078312
2026-01-25 0.010123 0.013969 0.019250 0.027150 0.038869 0.055932 0.083256
2026-02-01 0.009552 0.013355 0.018657 0.026719 0.038894 0.056966 0.086533
2026-02-08 0.009010 0.012758 0.018061 0.026252 0.038842 0.057886 0.089708
2026-02-15 0.008627 0.012372 0.017748 0.026185 0.039382 0.059729 0.094463
2026-02-22 0.008236 0.011953 0.017362 0.025978 0.039681 0.061194 0.098673
2026-03-01 0.007894 0.011588 0.017035 0.025839 0.040068 0.062806 0.103216
2026-03-08 0.007560 0.011218 0.016681 0.025632 0.040326 0.064206 0.107469
2026-03-15 0.007310 0.010967 0.016494 0.025678 0.040990 0.066302 0.113063
2026-03-22 0.007027 0.010649 0.016188 0.025511 0.041283 0.067777 0.117631
2026-03-29 0.006790 0.010392 0.015965 0.025465 0.041770 0.069603 0.122945
2026-04-05 0.006599 0.010200 0.015836 0.025565 0.042508 0.071896 0.129274
2026-04-12 0.006405 0.009994 0.015673 0.025598 0.043124 0.073999 0.135375